Tracking the Tropics: Disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico showing higher chance for development – WTSP
Francesco Abbruzzino, The Uncensored Report, LLC
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91): Recent satellite wind data indicate a broad area of low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche. The low is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico while interacting with a frontal boundary. This system is forecast to drift slowly northwestward during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development. A tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves generally northward near or along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of the week. Interests along the western Gulf Coast should closely monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. 2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic are showing gradual signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form while the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic through Monday and then moves generally westward at about 10 mph through the rest of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 3. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The disturbance is expected to move very little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the week while the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Forecaster Reinhart
