Tracking the Tropics: NHC monitoring three areas in the tropics for possible development
Francesco Abbruzzino, The Uncensored Report, LLC
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Northwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure just offshore of the upper Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower activity near the coast and over the adjacent waters of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to meander near the coast for the next couple of days, and some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. By Tuesday, the system is forecast to move inland, and further development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of the Texas coast during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 2. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a tropical wave located near the Lesser Antilles. The disturbance is expected to move westward and cross the eastern Caribbean Sea through Tuesday with little development. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development while the system moves across the central and western Caribbean Sea during the middle and latter parts of the week, and a tropical depression could form during that time. This system could cause gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Lesser Antilles today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean: A tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Blake
