Tracking the Tropics: Eyes are still on area in Caribbean but slow development expected  

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so.  Gradual 
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could 
form late this weekend or early next week while the system drifts 
generally northward or northwestward over the central or western 
Caribbean Sea.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are 
possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western 
Caribbean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
2. Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
Surface observations and satellite-derived winds indicate that a 
trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing 
widespread cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, 
Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and 
the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. 
Slow development of this system is possible during the next 2 to 3 
days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles.  
After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the 
low pressure area over the Caribbean.  Regardless of development, 
locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days from 
the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and 
Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
3. North Atlantic:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 450 
miles west of the western Azores is producing limited shower 
activity.  Some subtropical development is possible while the low 
moves generally eastward during the next few days.  Additional 
information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts 
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Roberts