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Disturbance in Caribbean has a 70% chance of development
Francesco Abbruzzino, The Uncensored Report, LLC
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Eastern Caribbean: A broad area of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the Windward Islands west-northwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the disturbance moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. 2. Western Atlantic: Satellite data indicate that a well-defined low pressure area located about 160 miles west of Bermuda is currently producing a limited amount of shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain only marginally conducive, and any additional development should be slow to occur over the next day or so. By late Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become even less favorable, and the low is expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system. Therefore, development after that time is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Beven
